04 · Communities

Communities: detect actor groups structuring an ecosystem

WHAT TO CHECK

Interpretable groups, their bridge actors and their changes over time.

  1. 01Specify the relationship type and graph period.
  2. 02Compare computed detection with domain interpretation.
  3. 03Test group stability when incomplete data changes.

Build the graph before calculating

Define nodes, direction and weight of relations, period, sources and deduplication rule. A contract, citation, investment and flow are not interchangeable relations, and missing links caused by incomplete collection remain visible.

  • Node unit
  • Link type and direction
  • Time window
  • Missing data

Separate community from brokerage

Community detection groups nodes under a declared function such as modularity. Betweenness measures a node's presence on shortest paths under a stated formula and normalization. Neither result names a motive by itself.

  • Algorithm and version
  • Optimised function
  • Directed or undirected graph
  • Score normalization

Test stability and business interpretation

Recalculate after removing uncertain links, changing the window or varying resolution. Interpret a group only when it remains sufficiently stable and external evidence explains the relationships.

  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Group stability
  • Domain validation
  • Dated review

VALIDATION DOSSIER

State the decision contract

Use the question “Which groups of actors are more densely connected to one another than to the rest of the ecosystem?” as a contract: name the owner, deadline, scope and alternatives before collecting more material. Communities can reveal coalitions, standards, schools of thought or influence chains that a list cannot show. Record what is deliberately outside scope, who can challenge the framing and what consequence follows from postponement. This prevents an attractive framework, actor list or market story from silently replacing the decision that the analysis is meant to support.

  • Owner and deadline
  • Comparable alternatives
  • Explicit boundary
  • Cost of delay

VALIDATION DOSSIER

Build an inspectable evidence register

For every material statement, retain the original source, publication date, observation period, method, unit and relevant population. Distinguish observed facts, calculated estimates, interview judgements and assumptions. Connect the register to the promised output: Interpretable groups, their bridge actors and their changes over time. Missing or contradictory evidence remains visible with a responsible owner and a collection action; it is never converted into certainty merely to complete the page.

  • Primary source
  • Method and unit
  • Confidence
  • Evidence gap

VALIDATION DOSSIER

Apply one operating convention

Define the rules before applying the analysis: inclusion criteria, identifiers, comparison set, calculation or coding convention, treatment of missing values and version date. Reproduce the same convention across every option or actor. Use the page checks as acceptance tests, beginning with “Specify the relationship type and graph period.” A conclusion is usable only when another practitioner can reconstruct how the inputs became the displayed result and identify where judgement entered.

  • Stable definitions
  • Common comparison
  • Versioned inputs
  • Reproducible transformation

VALIDATION DOSSIER

Test uncertainty and rival interpretations

Challenge the preferred interpretation with at least one plausible alternative, contradictory observation and sensitivity test. Separate association from prediction and never infer intent, power or causality from a position, score or visual proximity alone. The standing limit remains: A statistical community does not automatically imply an alliance or shared intention. State which uncertainty is most likely to reverse the conclusion and what additional observation would discriminate between the competing explanations.

  • Alternative explanation
  • Counterevidence
  • Sensitivity
  • Decision-changing uncertainty

VALIDATION DOSSIER

Record the action and reopening rule

Turn the analysis into a dated decision record rather than a static page. Preserve the selected option, rejected alternatives, objections, accepted risks and first reversible action. Name the signal, numerical or qualitative threshold, review owner and review date that will confirm, adapt, pause or reopen the decision. Link every later update to its author and reason so that the history remains understandable when evidence or market conditions change.

  • Decision trace
  • First reversible step
  • Review threshold
  • Named owner

LIMIT

A statistical community does not automatically imply an alliance or shared intention.