Decision concept

Dependencies: identifying the control points and the fragilities

What must be established

A useful analysis keeps its controls visible.

  1. 01

    Name the dependent object, its critical resource and its holder.

  2. 02

    Assess concentration, substitutability, lead time and cost of replacement.

  3. 03

    Simulate the effect of a disruption or a change of conditions.

RESULT OBTAINED

A map of critical dependencies with options for reduction, sharing or monitoring.

Decision reference

Make the next choice more explicit.

DECISION SUPPORTED

On which actors, technologies, resources or rules does market access depend?

DELIVERABLE TO KEEP

A map of critical dependencies with options for reduction, sharing or monitoring.

NEXT ELEMENT TO EXAMINE

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07 · ORIGINAL ASSET

Graph of critical dependencies

Original graph

The index combines concentration, criticality and low substitutability to tell a simple relation from a point of fragility.

DecisionEnter the market
InstitutionCertification
PartnerData
ChannelDistributor
TechnologyCloud
Certification20.0/25
Partner data12.0/25
National distributor7.2/25
Cloud infrastructure1.6/25

Index = concentration × criticality × (5 − substitutability) ÷ 5.

Teaching case · simulated data · no real-world market conclusion.

DECISION SUPPORT METHOD

Dependency criticality chart

The chart positions each dependency along two dimensions: difficulty of substitution and impact of an unavailability. It does not represent the size or reputation of the actors. A dependency becomes critical when it combines slow substitution, high impact and the absence of a solution tested within the decision horizon.

Score the impact from 0 to 100 on the basis of revenue loss, delay or regulatory risk. Score the difficulty of substitution from 0 to 100 on the basis of replacement time, transition costs and contractual constraints. Points above 70 on both axes require a tested fallback option; points below 40 are monitored without a heavy plan.

Original chart: impact of an unavailability × difficulty of substitution
Horizontal axis · 0 to 100Vertical axis · 0 to 100Data82 · 88Distribution74 · 62Skill58 · 76Supplier36 · 42
ZoneMeasurable conditionAssociated decision
CriticalImpact ≥ 70 and substitution ≥ 70Test an alternative, limit concentration and name an owner.
To secureA single axis ≥ 70Negotiate a guarantee or reduce the replacement time.
To monitorBoth axes between 40 and 69Follow a dated signal and reassess at each review.
TolerableBoth axes < 40Document without creating a disproportionate arrangement.

The map is revised when a contract, a capability, a regulation or an alternative changes. Moving a point must be justified by evidence; a colour alone never constitutes a decision.

MOVE FROM ANALYSIS TO YOUR DECISION

Produce a testable decision mandate

Produce my mandate ↗

MOVE FROM ANALYSIS TO YOUR DECISION

Produce a testable decision mandate

Produce my mandate ↗

RETURN TO THE DECISION SYSTEM

See the canonical definition of marketing strategy→