Main pathway

Decision use cases

What must be established

A useful analysis keeps its controls visible.

  1. 01

    Name the decision-maker, the deadline and the question to settle.

  2. 02

    Separate the available facts from the information still missing.

  3. 03

    Set the choice criteria and the review conditions.

RESULT OBTAINED

A short pathway linking context, method, tool and expected decision.

Decision reference

Make the next choice more explicit.

DECISION SUPPORTED

How to move from a concrete situation to a documented decision?

DELIVERABLE TO KEEP

A short pathway linking context, method, tool and expected decision.

NEXT ELEMENT TO EXAMINE

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44 · ORIGINAL ASSET

Three decisions, their renunciations and their review rules

End-to-end calculated cases

These cases are illustrative simulations, not client references. Every calculation is visible and reproducible; replace the scores with qualified evidence before any real decision.

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SIMULATED TEACHING CASE · 01

Choosing an entry mode into an adjacent market

Situation
A B2B team hesitates between direct entry, a partnership and a limited pilot. The figures are simulated on a scale of 0 to 10.
Options
Direct entry · Partnership · Limited pilot
State of the evidence
Simulated assumptions: attractiveness, accessibility, ability to win and risk control. No real observation is used.
Reproducible calculation
Score = attractiveness × 35% + access × 25% + ability × 25% + risk control × 15%.
Scores in criterion order: Direct entry 8 / 4 / 5 / 3 · Partnership 7 / 8 / 6 / 6 · Limited pilot 6 / 7 / 7 / 8.
Direct entry 5.50 · Partnership 6.85 · Limited pilot 6.80.
Renunciation
The partnership gives up part of the commercial control to reduce the cost and the lead time to access.
Decision
Choose the partnership, subject to validating demand and the split of customer data.
Review rule
Review if the partner does not supply two qualified opportunities within 60 days, or if the estimated acquisition cost exceeds €4,500.
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SIMULATED TEACHING CASE · 02

Repositioning an offer that has become interchangeable

Situation
A fictitious offer must choose between a functional promise, a vertical specialisation and premium support.
Options
Functional promise · Vertical specialist · Premium support
State of the evidence
Simulated scores on preference, evidence credibility and ability to defend. They serve only to reproduce the calculation.
Reproducible calculation
Score = preference × 40% + credibility × 35% + defence × 25%.
Scores in criterion order: Functional 6 / 8 / 5 · Vertical specialist 8 / 7 / 7 · Premium 7 / 6 / 8.
Functional 6.45 · Vertical specialist 7.40 · Premium 6.90.
Renunciation
Vertical specialisation gives up a universal promise and accepts a narrower addressable market.
Decision
Test the vertical specialisation on a pilot segment before changing the whole range.
Review rule
Drop this choice if fewer than 30% of pilot interviews recognise the specific problem, or if no credible evidence supports the promise.
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SIMULATED TEACHING CASE · 03

Allocating a portfolio under a capital constraint

Situation
A fictitious portfolio compares four moves: strengthen, explore, maintain or stop. The criteria are scored from 0 to 10.
Options
Strengthen · Explore · Maintain · Stop
State of the evidence
Value, fit with capabilities, risk control and reversibility are simulated assumptions, to be replaced with the real portfolio data.
Reproducible calculation
Score = value × 35% + fit × 25% + risk control × 20% + reversibility × 20%.
Scores in criterion order: Strengthen 8 / 8 / 6 / 6 · Explore 7 / 6 / 8 / 9 · Maintain 5 / 7 / 7 / 8 · Stop 2 / 4 / 8 / 10.
Strengthen 7.20 · Explore 7.35 · Maintain 6.50 · Stop 5.30.
Renunciation
Exploring gives up immediate full funding and holds back part of the capital until the next piece of evidence.
Decision
Fund a limited exploration with a budget cap, rather than a full deployment.
Review rule
Switch to strengthen if two evidence milestones are met; stop if the first milestone is missed at the 90-day deadline.
Download the example data ↓

Teaching case · simulated data · no real-world market conclusion.

DECISION SUPPORT METHOD

Use-case router by decision

A use case is useful only if it starts from a real decision and leads to a suitable method. This grid avoids choosing a tool because it is familiar. It guides the reader according to the nature of the choice, the level of uncertainty, the dominant constraint and the available evidence.

Start with the first row matching the decision. If the level of evidence is below the stated minimum, do not produce a definitive recommendation: choose the experiment or the collection that reduces the most costly uncertainty. Two cases can use the same method, but they share neither the assumptions nor the decision thresholds.

Decision to makeStarting methodExit condition
Enter a marketMarket definition then TAM/SAM/SOMAbility to win and access lock documented.
Prioritise a segmentAttractiveness × capability gridThresholds, weights and sensitivity of the ranking visible.
Choose a growth optionBuild, buy, partner comparisonRenunciations, timeframe and reversibility compared.
Reposition an offerMap of alternatives and differentiation evidenceRelevant and credible gap for the target retained.
React to a weak signalRegister of assumptions and scenariosObservable trigger linked to a reversible action.

The grid produces a working path and a stopping condition. It does not replace judgement: it makes visible the reasons why a method is chosen and those that would require changing it.

MOVE FROM ANALYSIS TO YOUR DECISION

Compare the method with three fully calculated decisions

Examine the complete cases ↗

MOVE FROM ANALYSIS TO YOUR DECISION

Compare the method with three fully calculated decisions

Examine the complete cases ↗

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