03 · Value chain

Value chain: locate value, control and dependency before choosing where to play

What must be established

A useful analysis leaves its controls visible.

  1. 01

    Define the buyer outcome and the chain boundary.

  2. 02

    Separate activity, actor, flow and control right.

  3. 03

    Test which position changes access, economics or dependency.

RESULT OBTAINED

A sourced map of activities, actors, flows and strategic control points.

Decision checkpoint

Make the next choice explicit.

DECISION SUPPORTED

Where is value created, captured and controlled along the route to the buyer?

DELIVERABLE TO RETAIN

A sourced map of activities, actors, flows and strategic control points.

NEXT ITEM TO INVESTIGATE

DependenciesExplore

Set the decision boundary

Map the steps needed to create and deliver the buyer outcome, including information, physical, contractual and financial flows. The boundary should match the decision, not merely the organisation chart or an industry label.

  • Decision owner
  • Scope and horizon
  • Comparable alternatives

Make evidence and calculation inspectable

For each activity, distinguish who performs it, who pays, who sets conditions and which dependency applies. Preserve the period and source because channels, roles and control rights can change quickly.

  • Source and date
  • Unit and calculation
  • Known uncertainty

Keep a reopening rule

Use the map to compare entry positions, make-or-partner choices and exposure to bottlenecks. Update it when an actor, interface, rule or route-to-market condition changes the option’s economics or access.

  • Material signal
  • Decision effect
  • Owner and review date

Application protocol

Turn the method into a reviewable decision record.

The page is complete only when another reviewer can reproduce the boundary, trace the evidence and understand what would change the conclusion.

Frame before measuring

Name the owner, decision, alternatives, unit, geography and horizon before collecting figures. This prevents a convenient source or familiar category from silently defining the problem.

  • Decision and owner
  • Comparable options
  • Unit, boundary and horizon

Separate observation from judgement

Record every observation with source, date, method and unit. Keep transformation rules, scores and weights apart from the evidence so that disagreement can target the right layer.

  • Observed evidence
  • Calculation convention
  • Assumption and confidence

Plan the reopening rule

State the signal, threshold, owner and review date that would reopen the choice. A robust conclusion is conditional and operational; it is not made permanent by a polished score.

  • Material signal
  • Decision threshold
  • Owner and review date

Resources

Reuse the method and check its foundations.

Continue with the diagnostic
01Explicit scope

Unit, horizon and boundaries are visible.

02Qualified evidence

Source, date, method and confidence are recorded.

03Sensitivity tested

Weights and assumptions that reverse the result are known.

04Review planned

Signal, threshold, date and owner are named.

Continue with the diagnostic

RETURN TO THE DECISION SYSTEM

See the canonical definition of marketing strategy