GE–McKinsey matrix: compare attractiveness and competitive strength transparently
WHAT TO CHECK
A multicriteria portfolio map with its evidence, uncertainty and review conditions.
01Separate external attractiveness from internal competitive evidence.
02Justify each criterion and avoid double counting.
03Test sensitivity and show constraints that a weighted average cannot offset.
Keep the two dimensions distinct
Attractiveness concerns the external setting: structure, demand, access or regulation. Competitive strength concerns the organisation's position and capabilities. Reusing the same evidence in both dimensions gives it hidden double weight.
External criteria
Internal criteria
Evidence owner
No double count
Expose weights and scales
A scale needs an observable anchor for every level. Weights are decision conventions, not measured facts, and should be challenged by the people who bear the consequences of the allocation.
Scale anchors
Weight rationale
Evidence date
Missing values
Stress-test the recommendation
Recalculate the position when sensitive weights or inputs change and state which constraints are non-compensable. The map should lead to a conditional action and a next review signal, not a mechanical invest-or-exit order.
Sensitivity
Non-compensable constraint
Conditional action
Review signal
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
State the decision contract
Use the question “How can two multicriteria scores support a portfolio comparison without hiding the assumptions that generate them?” as a contract: name the owner, deadline, scope and alternatives before collecting more material. The matrix compares market attractiveness and competitive strength only when criteria, weights, evidence and uncertainty remain visible. Record what is deliberately outside scope, who can challenge the framing and what consequence follows from postponement. This prevents an attractive framework, actor list or market story from silently replacing the decision that the analysis is meant to support.
Owner and deadline
Comparable alternatives
Explicit boundary
Cost of delay
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Build an inspectable evidence register
For every material statement, retain the original source, publication date, observation period, method, unit and relevant population. Distinguish observed facts, calculated estimates, interview judgements and assumptions. Connect the register to the promised output: A multicriteria portfolio map with its evidence, uncertainty and review conditions. Missing or contradictory evidence remains visible with a responsible owner and a collection action; it is never converted into certainty merely to complete the page.
Primary source
Method and unit
Confidence
Evidence gap
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Apply one operating convention
Define the rules before applying the analysis: inclusion criteria, identifiers, comparison set, calculation or coding convention, treatment of missing values and version date. Reproduce the same convention across every option or actor. Use the page checks as acceptance tests, beginning with “Separate external attractiveness from internal competitive evidence.” A conclusion is usable only when another practitioner can reconstruct how the inputs became the displayed result and identify where judgement entered.
Stable definitions
Common comparison
Versioned inputs
Reproducible transformation
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Test uncertainty and rival interpretations
Challenge the preferred interpretation with at least one plausible alternative, contradictory observation and sensitivity test. Separate association from prediction and never infer intent, power or causality from a position, score or visual proximity alone. The standing limit remains: Aggregation improves readability but can hide a critical weakness, dependency or constraint that no score can compensate. State which uncertainty is most likely to reverse the conclusion and what additional observation would discriminate between the competing explanations.
Alternative explanation
Counterevidence
Sensitivity
Decision-changing uncertainty
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Record the action and reopening rule
Turn the analysis into a dated decision record rather than a static page. Preserve the selected option, rejected alternatives, objections, accepted risks and first reversible action. Name the signal, numerical or qualitative threshold, review owner and review date that will confirm, adapt, pause or reopen the decision. Link every later update to its author and reason so that the history remains understandable when evidence or market conditions change.
Decision trace
First reversible step
Review threshold
Named owner
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Definition and decision scope
Define GE–McKinsey matrix in operational terms before using it. State the decision unit, market boundary, time horizon and comparison set. The method must answer “How can two multicriteria scores support a portfolio comparison without hiding the assumptions that generate them?” without quietly expanding its scope or replacing the decision with a descriptive classification.
Operational definition
Decision unit
Boundary
Time horizon
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Scope acceptance test
Ask an independent reviewer to identify what is included, excluded and held constant. The page passes only when two practitioners would analyse the same unit and period. Ambiguity is recorded as an assumption and assigned an owner before calculation or categorisation begins.
Same unit
Same period
Explicit exclusions
Named owner
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Marketing case and alternatives
Translate the method into a concrete marketing case with a named customer, offer, market or portfolio question. Preserve at least two genuine alternatives plus the status quo. The expected deliverable is A multicriteria portfolio map with its evidence, uncertainty and review conditions. and must make trade-offs visible rather than presenting one preferred option as inevitable.
Concrete case
Status quo
Two alternatives
Visible trade-offs
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Decision-question test
Verify that the question can be answered by a choice, commitment or learning action. A broad request to understand the market is not sufficient. Record who decides, by when, which resources are constrained and what would happen if no option were selected.
Decision owner
Deadline
Constraint
Cost of no decision
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Why this method and not another
Explain which part of the decision GE–McKinsey matrix illuminates and which parts require another lens. Compare it with a plausible alternative method. Selection should follow the uncertainty to reduce, not habit, visual appeal or the availability of a familiar two-by-two matrix.
Relevant uncertainty
Alternative method
Selection rationale
Complementary lens
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Intuition and mechanism
Describe the mechanism in plain language before introducing labels or scores: what changes, for whom, through which link and over what period. Mark the link as observed, estimated or assumed. A diagram may aid understanding, but proximity or quadrant membership never establishes causality.
Actor
Change
Mechanism
Evidence status
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Data requirements and dictionary
List every required field with definition, unit, geography, population, observation period, source and refresh date. Distinguish missing data from zero and not applicable. Use stable identifiers so updates reconcile the same market, segment, competitor or business unit across versions.
Field definition
Unit
Observation period
Stable identifier
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Source and comparability control
Check primary sources first and document transformations applied to secondary data. Compare like with like: currency, nominal or real values, calendar period, perimeter and denominator must match. Any conversion or proxy retains its formula, reason, confidence and effect on the decision.
Primary source
Comparable basis
Conversion rule
Proxy confidence
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Formalisation and conventions
Write the formula, coding rule or classification convention used by GE–McKinsey matrix. Define every symbol, scale anchor, weight and sign. Explain whether a higher value is favourable, adverse or merely descriptive, and prevent a weighted average from compensating a binding constraint.
Formula or rule
Scale anchors
Weight meaning
Binding constraints
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Numerical integrity check
Recalculate totals, ratios and classifications from the displayed inputs. Check units, denominators, rounding and missing-value treatment. Preserve the unrounded value for reproduction and display the rounded value consistently. Any threshold is labelled as an agreed convention rather than a universal fact.
Recalculation
Denominator
Rounding
Threshold status
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Procedure and responsibilities
Describe the sequence from collection to decision: frame, gather, qualify, calculate, challenge, compare and record. For each step, identify the responsible role, input, output and acceptance condition. Separate mechanical operations from judgements that require an accountable human decision.
Ordered steps
Responsible role
Input and output
Human judgement
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Worked-example verification
Provide a compact example whose inputs, intermediate operations and final result can be followed line by line. Use realistic but explicitly simulated values. The narrative conclusion must match the numbers, while alternative assumptions show how a different result could legitimately emerge.
Visible inputs
Intermediate steps
Matching conclusion
Alternative result
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Assumptions as testable questions
Convert each material assumption into a question, observable indicator, source, threshold and review date. Separate assumptions testable with current data from those requiring an experiment, interview or future observation. Do not mark an assumption as validated merely because stakeholders agree with it.
Testable question
Indicator
Threshold
Review date
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Diagnostic response plan
For every diagnostic attached to GE–McKinsey matrix, state what is calculated or observed, how to interpret it and what action follows when it fails. A warning without a response rule is incomplete. Record whether failure blocks the decision, changes confidence or triggers additional evidence.
Observed signal
Interpretation
Failure action
Decision impact
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Robustness and sensitivity
Vary the most uncertain inputs, scale anchors and weights across defensible ranges. Test alternative market boundaries and plausible missing values. Report which changes leave the recommendation stable and which reverse it; do not hide instability behind a single central estimate or colour.
Input ranges
Alternative boundary
Missing-value case
Ranking reversal
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Counterevidence and rival explanation
Search deliberately for observations that contradict the preferred reading. Compare at least one rival mechanism and identify the evidence that would discriminate between them. Distinguish association, prediction and causal claims, and reduce the wording whenever the available design cannot support the stronger claim.
Counterevidence
Rival mechanism
Discriminating test
Claim level
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Interpretation with calibrated language
Interpret the result at the level supported by the evidence. Keep this boundary visible: Aggregation improves readability but can hide a critical weakness, dependency or constraint that no score can compensate. Explain magnitude, uncertainty, business relevance and affected option separately. Avoid converting a descriptive category into a forecast or a forecast into proof of causal impact.
Magnitude
Uncertainty
Business relevance
Claim boundary
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
What may and may not be concluded
Publish two explicit lists: conclusions supported by the analysis and conclusions that remain unsupported. Include tempting overclaims such as guaranteed performance, universal superiority or inferred intent. Connect every permitted conclusion to the exact calculation, observation or source that supports it.
Supported claims
Forbidden claims
Traceable basis
No guarantee
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Decision, use and avoidance conditions
State the marketing action the result can inform, the first reversible step and the conditions under which the method should not be used. Preserve rejected alternatives and objections. The recommendation remains conditional on the evidence, constraints and review signals documented on the page.
Conditional action
Reversible step
Avoidance case
Rejected alternatives
METHOD QUALITY PROTOCOL
Reproducibility, sources and governance
Version the dataset, dictionary, parameters, code or worksheet and expected output. Record source localisers, licences and checksums where artefacts are retained. Name the reviewer, publication status and reopening signal. A future team must reproduce the result without guessing hidden conventions.
Versioned artefacts
Source localisers
Independent review
Reopening signal
LIMIT
Aggregation improves readability but can hide a critical weakness, dependency or constraint that no score can compensate.